Supply Shock

Published on October 21, 2024 by Premium

The November election could lead to an even larger expected fiscal deficit that would imply higher short dated rates due to both a more restrictive Fed and to a higher share of bill issuance. The fiscal deficit is anticipated to be around 7% for the foreseeable future, but a one party November election sweep would raise those estimates even higher. Financing the fiscal deficit is never an unsolvable problem in a fiat system as the […]

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